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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.48+6.73vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.25+6.65vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.75+7.67vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.18+4.60vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.24+3.35vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.68+4.67vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.47+0.48vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-2.73vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.61-2.10vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.23-1.25vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+1.52vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.08+1.22vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-4.73vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.72-0.20vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.24+0.41vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.48-8.45vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.71-10.21vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.72-7.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.73Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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8.65Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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10.67Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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8.6Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.35Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.67Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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7.48Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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5.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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6.9Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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8.75Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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12.52Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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13.22Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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8.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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13.8University of Vermont1.720.0%1st Place
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15.41University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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7.55Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.79Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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10.36University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Koeppel | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 2.6% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Scott Goodrich | 3.6% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 3.1% |
| Scott Barbano | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Avery Fanning | 12.8% | 15.9% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Bryce Kopp | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Frank Reeg | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 11.8% |
| Shannon Killian | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 14.2% | 17.5% | 13.6% |
| David Larson | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Mike Kanare | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 19.6% | 20.6% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 19.6% | 41.2% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Martim Anderson | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.