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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.61+6.23vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.18+6.97vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.68+7.97vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.71+2.55vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.24+3.33vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+2.32vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.48+0.48vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.47-0.47vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.23-0.56vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.25-1.34vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-5.55vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+0.66vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.48-5.59vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.72-3.79vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.72-0.91vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.75-5.49vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire1.24-1.55vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.08-5.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.23Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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8.97Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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10.97Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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6.55Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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8.33Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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7.48Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.53Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.44Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.66Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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5.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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12.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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7.41Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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10.21University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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14.09University of Vermont1.720.0%1st Place
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10.51Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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15.45University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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12.75Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lalumiere | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Scott Goodrich | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 3.8% |
| Martim Anderson | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| David Larson | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Avery Fanning | 14.2% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Frank Reeg | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 10.4% |
| Harry Koeppel | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| Mike Kanare | 1.4% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 19.2% | 21.6% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 2.6% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 15.6% | 44.7% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 10.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.