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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.18+7.92vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.61+5.12vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+9.67vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.68+6.51vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.24+3.36vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+2.35vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.48+0.48vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.48-0.55vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.25-0.62vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.71-3.12vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.23-2.37vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.75-1.20vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-7.75vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.47-6.70vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.08-2.12vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.72-1.79vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire1.24-1.54vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.72-7.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.92Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.12Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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12.67Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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10.51Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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8.36Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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7.48Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.45Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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8.38Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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6.88Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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8.63Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.8Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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5.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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7.3Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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12.88Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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14.21University of Vermont1.720.0%1st Place
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15.46University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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10.34University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack McGuire | 4.9% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Frank Reeg | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 7.9% |
| Scott Goodrich | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| David Larson | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Harry Koeppel | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Martim Anderson | 10.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% |
| Avery Fanning | 13.7% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Shannon Killian | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 11.6% |
| Mike Kanare | 1.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 18.8% | 23.4% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 11.2% | 15.9% | 43.6% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.