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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+4.56vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.18+6.95vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+5.58vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.47+3.45vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.48+2.43vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.24+2.43vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.25+1.43vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.61-1.09vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.71-2.50vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.68+0.94vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.23-2.39vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.48-4.20vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.72-2.59vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.75-3.88vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.08-2.08vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-3.48vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.72-2.81vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire1.24-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.95Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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7.45Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.43Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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8.43Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.43Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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6.91Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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6.5Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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10.94Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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8.61Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.8Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.41University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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10.12Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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12.92Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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12.52Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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14.19University of Vermont1.720.0%1st Place
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15.27University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Fanning | 12.6% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| David Larson | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Scott Barbano | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Harry Koeppel | 7.2% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Martim Anderson | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 3.1% |
| Bryce Kopp | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 12.0% |
| Frank Reeg | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 12.9% | 10.3% |
| Mike Kanare | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 19.5% | 23.6% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 18.5% | 39.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.