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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.75+9.56vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.72+8.77vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.23+5.69vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08+1.30vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.24+3.36vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+2.36vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.18+1.67vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.48-0.60vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+3.37vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.68+0.95vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.25-2.50vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.48-4.14vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.47-5.62vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.61-7.28vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.72-0.94vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.08-3.00vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.71-10.23vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire1.24-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.56Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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10.77University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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8.69Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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5.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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8.36Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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8.67Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.4Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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12.37Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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10.95Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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8.5Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.86Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.38Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.72Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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14.06University of Vermont1.720.0%1st Place
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13.0Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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6.77Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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15.27University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Digiovanni | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 3.6% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Avery Fanning | 14.6% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| David Larson | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Harry Koeppel | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Frank Reeg | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 8.0% |
| Scott Goodrich | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 2.9% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Scott Barbano | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Mike Kanare | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 12.9% | 18.7% | 21.6% |
| Shannon Killian | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 14.1% |
| Martim Anderson | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 42.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.