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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.18+7.89vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.48+5.70vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.61+4.18vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+4.25vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.68+5.52vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.75+4.48vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.25+1.39vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.48-0.58vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.24-0.61vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.47-2.19vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.23-2.39vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.72-1.10vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.08-0.23vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.71-7.54vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-9.72vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-3.51vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.72-2.82vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire1.24-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.89Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.7Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.18Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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8.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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10.52Northeastern University2.680.0%1st Place
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10.48Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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8.39Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.42Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.39Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.81Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.61Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.9University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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12.77Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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6.46Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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5.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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12.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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14.18University of Vermont1.720.0%1st Place
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15.28University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack McGuire | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Harry Koeppel | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| David Larson | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Scott Goodrich | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.3% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Scott Barbano | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Bryce Kopp | 6.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 3.1% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 12.2% |
| Martim Anderson | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 13.8% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Frank Reeg | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 9.8% |
| Mike Kanare | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 20.7% | 22.6% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 16.9% | 41.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.