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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.13+7.04vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.13+5.97vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.42+8.11vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+5.47vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.85+3.93vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.60+4.08vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.19+0.56vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.49-1.68vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.94-0.44vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.92-1.06vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.69-1.21vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.71-2.01vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.74+0.36vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.09-6.35vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.70-5.42vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-5.97vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-3.93vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.45-7.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.04Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.97Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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11.11Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
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9.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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8.93Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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10.08Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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7.56Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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6.32Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.56Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.94Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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9.79Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.99Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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13.36University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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7.65University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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9.58University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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10.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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13.07Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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10.53Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Cook | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Jackson Wagner | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% |
| Joseph Paggi | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Henry Dumke | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 5.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% |
| Duncan Williford | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| John Rolander | 11.0% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Michael Gemperline | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| William Hawk | 7.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Franco Bilik | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Walter Florio | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% |
| James Amaral | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 14.8% | 25.6% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 23.4% |
| John Silvestri | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.