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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.49+5.57vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.13+5.98vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.85+6.23vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.45+6.61vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+7.78vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.19+1.56vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+2.53vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.94+0.51vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.71+0.59vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.13-1.91vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.92-2.12vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.42-0.80vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.69-3.46vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.60-4.27vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-5.02vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.70-6.28vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.09-8.93vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire1.74-4.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.57Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.98Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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9.23Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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10.61Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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12.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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7.56Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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9.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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8.51Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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9.59Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
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8.09Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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8.88Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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11.2Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
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9.54Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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9.73Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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9.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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9.72University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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8.07University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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13.43University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Rolander | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Brendan Cook | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Henry Dumke | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| John Silvestri | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 21.6% |
| Duncan Williford | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Joseph Paggi | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% |
| Michael Gemperline | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Walter Florio | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| William Hawk | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Jackson Wagner | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 8.4% |
| Franco Bilik | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 3.8% |
| Dakota Northrup | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| James Amaral | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 25.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.