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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+8.71vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.92+6.85vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.49+3.50vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.13+3.72vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.45+5.61vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.70+3.69vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.71+2.61vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.13-0.27vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.94-0.43vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.09-1.74vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.42-0.05vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-1.55vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.74+0.36vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.69-4.59vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.19-7.53vs Predicted
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16Boston College2.85-6.90vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.60-6.78vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-5.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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8.85Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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6.5Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.72Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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10.61Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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9.69University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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9.61Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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7.73Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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8.57Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.26University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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10.95Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
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10.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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13.36University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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9.41Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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7.47Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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9.1Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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10.22Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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12.79Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Paggi | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% |
| William Hawk | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| John Rolander | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| John Silvestri | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.3% |
| Walter Florio | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
| Brendan Cook | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Michael Gemperline | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Jackson Wagner | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% |
| James Amaral | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 26.4% |
| Franco Bilik | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% |
| Duncan Williford | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Henry Dumke | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 19.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.