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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.92+1.89vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+2.08vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.89-0.05vs Predicted
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4Bates College2.43-0.45vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.43-1.45vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy1.32-0.67vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.03+0.21vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.21-1.14vs Predicted
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9McGill University-1.71-0.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89Tufts University2.920.3%1st Place
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4.08Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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2.95Bowdoin College2.890.2%1st Place
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3.55Bates College2.430.2%1st Place
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3.55Dartmouth College2.430.2%1st Place
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5.33Maine Maritime Academy1.320.0%1st Place
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7.21Middlebury College-0.030.0%1st Place
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6.86University of New Hampshire0.210.0%1st Place
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8.58McGill University-1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albert Nichols | 25.1% | 22.1% | 18.9% | 15.8% | 10.5% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Richard Graef | 9.4% | 12.7% | 16.2% | 17.9% | 20.2% | 15.6% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 24.9% | 20.2% | 19.0% | 16.3% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 16.6% | 16.3% | 15.8% | 19.5% | 16.0% | 11.3% | 3.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Martin McDonald | 15.9% | 19.1% | 16.5% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nemsdale | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 27.4% | 21.4% | 7.9% | 0.3% |
| Alex Knight | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 24.4% | 44.3% | 11.9% |
| Terry Clarke | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 32.5% | 32.1% | 8.7% |
| John Kline | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 5.5% | 11.4% | 78.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.