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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+0.32vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.74+1.93vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.51+1.45vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California-0.48+1.95vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.08-1.55vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.39+0.41vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.11-2.09vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.80-1.44vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.99-0.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.32Stanford University3.3074.7%1st Place
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3.93University of California at Berkeley0.745.2%1st Place
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4.45University of Hawaii0.514.2%1st Place
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5.95University of Southern California-0.481.6%1st Place
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3.45University of California at Santa Barbara1.088.2%1st Place
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6.41Arizona State University-0.390.9%1st Place
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4.91University of Washington0.113.5%1st Place
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6.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.801.4%1st Place
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8.03University of California at Los Angeles-1.990.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 74.7% | 20.1% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 5.2% | 19.1% | 20.2% | 19.3% | 16.8% | 11.2% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Martha Schuessler | 4.2% | 13.4% | 17.0% | 17.0% | 17.5% | 15.4% | 9.8% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Ava Bergan | 1.6% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 16.1% | 18.8% | 18.4% | 8.4% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 8.2% | 23.1% | 25.0% | 19.4% | 13.0% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 0.9% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 15.0% | 21.0% | 23.0% | 12.6% |
| Sammy Farkas | 3.5% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 17.1% | 16.8% | 14.2% | 7.9% | 1.9% |
| Micaela Jorcino | 1.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 13.7% | 19.4% | 27.3% | 14.0% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 15.4% | 61.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.