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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.13+7.00vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+7.79vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.13+5.01vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.71+5.50vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.70+4.57vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.60+4.10vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.85+1.94vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.19-0.48vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.69+0.67vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.92-1.04vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.09-2.89vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-1.62vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.42-2.32vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.94-5.70vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.49-8.76vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.45-5.23vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire1.74-3.36vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-5.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.0Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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9.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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8.01Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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9.5Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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9.57University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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10.1Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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8.94Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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7.52Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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9.67Brown University2.690.0%1st Place
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8.96Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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8.11University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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10.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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10.68Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
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8.3Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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6.24Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.77Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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13.64University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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12.81Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Cook | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Joseph Paggi | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| Walter Florio | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% |
| Henry Dumke | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% |
| Duncan Williford | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Franco Bilik | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| William Hawk | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% |
| Jackson Wagner | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% |
| Michael Gemperline | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| John Rolander | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| John Silvestri | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 7.6% |
| James Amaral | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 16.0% | 27.4% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.