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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+8.90vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.49+4.58vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.94+5.95vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.42+6.79vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.92+3.76vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.13+1.97vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.21+0.55vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+2.06vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.60+1.14vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.85-0.59vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.09-2.79vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.13-3.70vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.69-3.34vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-1.27vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.70-5.26vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire1.74-2.28vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.19-9.11vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.45-7.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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6.58Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.95Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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10.79Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
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8.76Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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7.97Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.55Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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10.14Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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9.41Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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8.21University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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8.3Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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9.66Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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12.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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9.74University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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13.72University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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7.89Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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10.65Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Paggi | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% |
| John Rolander | 8.1% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Michael Gemperline | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Jackson Wagner | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% |
| William Hawk | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% |
| Henry Dumke | 6.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Brendan Cook | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Franco Bilik | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 14.2% | 19.8% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% |
| James Amaral | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 13.9% | 28.6% |
| Duncan Williford | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| John Silvestri | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.