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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.09+7.30vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.92+7.03vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+10.31vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+5.55vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.85+4.03vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.19+1.68vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.13+0.89vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.49-1.59vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.60+1.15vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+0.37vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.13-2.93vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.42-0.67vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.21-5.54vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.94-5.61vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.69-5.24vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire1.74-2.30vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.70-7.08vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.45-7.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.3University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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9.03Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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13.31Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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9.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.03Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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7.68Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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7.89Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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6.41Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.15Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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10.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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8.07Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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11.33Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
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7.46Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.39Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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9.76Brown University2.690.0%1st Place
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13.7University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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9.92University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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10.64Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dakota Northrup | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| William Hawk | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 23.3% |
| Joseph Paggi | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% |
| Henry Dumke | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Duncan Williford | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Brendan Cook | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| John Rolander | 10.2% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Jackson Wagner | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.9% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Michael Gemperline | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Franco Bilik | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| James Amaral | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 28.3% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 3.8% |
| John Silvestri | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.