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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.49+5.73vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.19+5.87vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.13+5.12vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.21+3.48vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+5.02vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.09+2.07vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.60+3.23vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.92+0.67vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.42+1.96vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.45+1.13vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-1.14vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.85-2.49vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.69-3.32vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-1.30vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.74-1.42vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.70-6.16vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.94-8.14vs Predicted
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18Yale University3.13-10.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.73Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.87Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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8.12Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.48Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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8.07University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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10.23Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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8.67Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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10.96Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
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11.13Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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9.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.51Boston College2.850.0%1st Place
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9.68Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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12.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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13.58University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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9.84University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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8.86Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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7.7Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Rolander | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Duncan Williford | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| Brendan Cook | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 4.9% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 4.9% |
| William Hawk | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Jackson Wagner | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% |
| John Silvestri | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.6% |
| Joseph Paggi | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% |
| Henry Dumke | 4.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Franco Bilik | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 20.8% |
| James Amaral | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 26.8% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
| Michael Gemperline | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.