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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.53+4.41vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.80+6.00vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.19+3.45vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.34+5.39vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+2.23vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.81+1.75vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.39+2.32vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.90-0.67vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.23-2.92vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-2.64vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.12-0.50vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.23+4.10vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.58-4.53vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.49-1.66vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.82-3.57vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.56-7.29vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.22-3.44vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire0.33-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.41Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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8.0Bowdoin College2.800.0%1st Place
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6.45Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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9.39Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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7.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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7.75Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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9.32Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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7.33Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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6.08Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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10.5Harvard University2.120.0%1st Place
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16.1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.230.0%1st Place
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8.47University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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12.34Yale University1.490.0%1st Place
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11.43Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.71University of Rhode Island2.560.0%1st Place
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13.56Salve Regina University1.220.0%1st Place
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15.57University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Williford | 12.8% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Lyons | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 4.9% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| John Wehner | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| James Moody | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Conner Harding | 10.6% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| August Sturm | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 4.3% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 1.2% |
| Matthew Schaefer | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 10.3% | 22.2% | 45.9% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Charles Skoda | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 10.8% | 5.0% |
| Reid Secondo | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 3.0% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Bayard Lalor | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 19.2% | 17.7% | 8.9% |
| Judas Taylor | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 26.9% | 33.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.