← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College3.19+5.47vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College3.53+3.32vs Predicted
-
3Connecticut College2.34+6.83vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+3.15vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.90+2.33vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University3.23+0.20vs Predicted
-
7Boston University2.81+0.73vs Predicted
-
8Yale University1.49+4.47vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.23+6.95vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont2.58-1.17vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-3.76vs Predicted
-
12Brown University1.82-0.25vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University2.39-3.86vs Predicted
-
14Bowdoin College2.80-6.49vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island2.56-6.39vs Predicted
-
16Harvard University2.12-5.60vs Predicted
-
17University of New Hampshire0.33-1.20vs Predicted
-
18Salve Regina University1.22-4.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.47Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
-
5.32Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
-
9.83Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
-
7.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
-
7.33Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
-
6.2Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
-
7.73Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
-
12.47Yale University1.490.0%1st Place
-
15.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.230.0%1st Place
-
8.83University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
-
7.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
-
11.75Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
-
9.14Northeastern University2.390.1%1st Place
-
7.51Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
-
8.61University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
-
10.4Harvard University2.120.0%1st Place
-
15.8University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
-
13.29Salve Regina University1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Simmons | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Williford | 11.4% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 9.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| James Moody | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Conner Harding | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Charles Skoda | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 12.0% | 5.3% |
| Matthew Schaefer | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 23.9% | 41.8% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| August Sturm | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Reid Secondo | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 8.7% | 2.5% |
| John Wehner | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Lyons | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Judas Taylor | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 25.2% | 39.1% |
| Bayard Lalor | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 15.6% | 16.5% | 8.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.