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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.53+4.40vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+5.41vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.81+4.89vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.34+5.41vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.90+2.36vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.82+5.49vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.80+0.79vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.19-1.75vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.56-0.37vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.12+0.58vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.39-1.56vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-4.55vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.49-0.58vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.58-5.68vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.23-8.89vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.33-0.22vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.23-1.05vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.22-4.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.4Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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7.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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7.89Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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9.41Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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7.36Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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11.49Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.79Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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6.25Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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8.63University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
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10.58Harvard University2.120.0%1st Place
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9.44Northeastern University2.390.1%1st Place
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7.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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12.42Yale University1.490.0%1st Place
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8.32University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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6.11Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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15.78University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
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15.95Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.230.0%1st Place
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13.33Salve Regina University1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Williford | 13.1% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| James Moody | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Secondo | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 2.6% |
| Matthew Lyons | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 9.6% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| John Wehner | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| August Sturm | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Charles Skoda | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 4.1% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Conner Harding | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Judas Taylor | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 13.0% | 23.4% | 38.5% |
| Matthew Schaefer | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 10.8% | 23.2% | 42.7% |
| Bayard Lalor | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 18.1% | 16.7% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.