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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.81+6.87vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97+5.29vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.34+6.66vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.23+2.10vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.39+4.15vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.80+1.75vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.19-0.74vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.58+0.49vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.90-1.71vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-2.54vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.53-5.68vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.56-3.07vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.12-2.82vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.49-1.75vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.93-0.78vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.23-0.11vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire0.33-1.32vs Predicted
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18Brown University1.82-6.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.87Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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7.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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9.66Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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6.1Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.15Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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7.75Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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6.26Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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8.49University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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7.29Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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7.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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5.32Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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8.93University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
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10.18Harvard University2.120.0%1st Place
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12.25Yale University1.490.0%1st Place
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14.22Salve Regina University0.930.0%1st Place
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15.89Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.230.0%1st Place
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15.68University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
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11.21Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Welsh | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| August Sturm | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Conner Harding | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Wehner | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Lyons | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| James Moody | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 8.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Williford | 13.7% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Charles Skoda | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 11.0% | 4.7% |
| Caden Buckley | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 17.8% | 21.4% | 14.6% |
| Matthew Schaefer | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 11.4% | 23.1% | 41.2% |
| Judas Taylor | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 12.4% | 24.6% | 36.0% |
| Reid Secondo | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 6.1% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.