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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.89+1.17vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+1.96vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+3.39vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.98+0.93vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.83-1.06vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.05-0.58vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California0.90-1.64vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-3.35vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.96-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17Stanford University2.8940.9%1st Place
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3.96California Poly Maritime Academy1.9212.7%1st Place
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6.39Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.353.7%1st Place
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4.93University of California at Berkeley0.987.7%1st Place
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3.94University of Washington1.8313.7%1st Place
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5.42University of Hawaii1.056.2%1st Place
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5.36University of Southern California0.905.8%1st Place
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4.65University of California at Santa Barbara1.678.3%1st Place
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8.19University of California at Los Angeles-0.961.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 40.9% | 27.6% | 16.0% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 12.7% | 16.0% | 16.3% | 15.9% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 17.0% | 27.3% | 14.5% |
| Will Cornell | 7.7% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 10.3% | 2.5% |
| Benjamin Stone | 13.7% | 14.4% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 16.7% | 17.0% | 5.5% |
| Morgana Manti | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 16.8% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 4.5% |
| Henry Boeger | 8.3% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 15.6% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 1.8% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 13.3% | 69.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.