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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.89+1.95vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+2.07vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.43+0.63vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.92-1.21vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.21+1.80vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy1.32-0.64vs Predicted
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7McGill University-1.71+1.62vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-0.03-0.83vs Predicted
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9Bates College2.43-5.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95Bowdoin College2.890.2%1st Place
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4.07Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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3.63Dartmouth College2.430.2%1st Place
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2.79Tufts University2.920.3%1st Place
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6.8University of New Hampshire0.210.0%1st Place
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5.36Maine Maritime Academy1.320.1%1st Place
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8.62McGill University-1.710.0%1st Place
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7.17Middlebury College-0.030.0%1st Place
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3.6Bates College2.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Goodrich | 24.8% | 21.1% | 18.1% | 17.2% | 11.0% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Richard Graef | 10.3% | 13.4% | 16.0% | 17.1% | 17.8% | 15.5% | 8.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Martin McDonald | 15.7% | 14.6% | 18.3% | 15.9% | 17.9% | 13.2% | 3.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Albert Nichols | 26.1% | 24.2% | 18.3% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Terry Clarke | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 11.4% | 29.1% | 34.9% | 7.1% |
| Tyler Nemsdale | 5.0% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 26.7% | 22.7% | 8.0% | 0.6% |
| John Kline | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 2.0% | 4.9% | 13.0% | 78.5% |
| Alex Knight | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 9.8% | 24.5% | 40.5% | 13.6% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 15.0% | 17.5% | 15.8% | 17.5% | 17.8% | 12.1% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.