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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.53+4.36vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.23+4.32vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.80+4.94vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+3.13vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.12+5.18vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.39+3.30vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.90+0.31vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-0.99vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.82+2.40vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.19-3.47vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.81-3.13vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.58-3.07vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.49-0.62vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.34-4.85vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.93-0.80vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire0.33-0.29vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.23-1.12vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.56-9.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.36Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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6.32Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.94Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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7.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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10.18Harvard University2.120.0%1st Place
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9.3Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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7.31Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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7.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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11.4Brown University1.820.0%1st Place
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6.53Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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7.87Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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8.93University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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12.38Yale University1.490.0%1st Place
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9.15Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
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14.2Salve Regina University0.930.0%1st Place
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15.71University of New Hampshire0.330.0%1st Place
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15.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.230.0%1st Place
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8.42University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Williford | 13.4% | 13.7% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Harding | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Lyons | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 0.5% |
| John Wehner | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| James Moody | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| August Sturm | 7.5% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Reid Secondo | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 2.2% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 10.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Charles Skoda | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 11.7% | 4.1% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Caden Buckley | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 17.1% | 21.3% | 13.6% |
| Judas Taylor | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 13.7% | 23.5% | 37.0% |
| Matthew Schaefer | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 11.4% | 22.2% | 41.4% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.