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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Oregon State University-0.58+4.23vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon1.55+0.37vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.08-0.03vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University0.21+0.27vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.17-0.20vs Predicted
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6University of Puget Sound-0.98-0.13vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University1.40-4.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.23Oregon State University-0.580.0%1st Place
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2.37University of Oregon1.550.3%1st Place
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2.97Western Washington University1.080.2%1st Place
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4.27Oregon State University0.210.1%1st Place
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4.8Western Washington University-0.170.0%1st Place
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5.87University of Puget Sound-0.980.0%1st Place
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2.47Oregon State University1.400.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jin Parisien | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 12.8% | 17.3% | 28.8% | 25.9% |
| Stephen Moran | 30.6% | 30.3% | 20.1% | 11.6% | 5.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Gabe Hill | 20.8% | 20.6% | 22.6% | 19.1% | 11.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 7.2% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 18.0% | 25.1% | 17.9% | 7.3% |
| Lena Captain | 4.6% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 16.7% | 22.3% | 25.2% | 14.9% |
| Lauren Engstrom | 1.8% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 20.9% | 49.6% |
| Patrick (Drew) Ehlers | 30.3% | 25.7% | 22.1% | 13.1% | 6.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.