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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Oregon State University0.21+3.15vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.08+1.03vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon1.55-0.66vs Predicted
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4Oregon State University-0.58+1.36vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.17-0.20vs Predicted
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6University of Puget Sound-0.98-0.15vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University1.40-4.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15Oregon State University0.210.1%1st Place
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3.03Western Washington University1.080.2%1st Place
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2.34University of Oregon1.550.3%1st Place
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5.36Oregon State University-0.580.0%1st Place
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4.8Western Washington University-0.170.1%1st Place
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5.85University of Puget Sound-0.980.0%1st Place
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2.47Oregon State University1.400.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Wilkinson | 9.4% | 10.5% | 14.7% | 19.6% | 20.8% | 16.5% | 8.5% |
| Gabe Hill | 17.0% | 23.4% | 23.3% | 19.5% | 11.0% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Stephen Moran | 32.5% | 28.1% | 20.8% | 11.5% | 5.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Jin Parisien | 3.1% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 11.9% | 17.3% | 29.3% | 27.9% |
| Lena Captain | 5.0% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 26.6% | 23.4% | 14.7% |
| Lauren Engstrom | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 23.0% | 47.1% |
| Patrick (Drew) Ehlers | 31.0% | 24.6% | 22.0% | 14.1% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.