← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University2.39+0.62vs Predicted
-
4Bates College1.80-1.95vs Predicted
-
5University of Connecticut0.19-1.48vs Predicted
-
6Williams College-0.03-2.21vs Predicted
-
7University of New Hampshire-0.53-2.63vs Predicted
-
8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.11-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.62Tufts University2.390.5%1st Place
-
2.05Bates College1.800.3%1st Place
-
3.52University of Connecticut0.190.1%1st Place
-
3.79Williams College-0.030.0%1st Place
-
4.37University of New Hampshire-0.530.0%1st Place
-
5.65University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 53.9% | 33.3% | 10.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John Cappetta | 33.0% | 39.1% | 20.0% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| George Williams | 6.9% | 11.8% | 29.1% | 29.6% | 19.8% | 2.8% |
| Jorge Castro | 4.0% | 9.1% | 24.5% | 32.2% | 26.6% | 3.6% |
| Morgan Tanski | 1.8% | 5.6% | 14.3% | 24.1% | 40.4% | 13.8% |
| Amelia Vinciguerra | 0.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 5.8% | 10.8% | 79.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.