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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bates College2.43+2.64vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.92+1.00vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.43+0.63vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.21+2.82vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-1.17vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy1.32-0.62vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-0.03+0.20vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.89-5.09vs Predicted
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9McGill University-1.71-0.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64Bates College2.430.1%1st Place
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3.0Tufts University2.920.2%1st Place
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3.63Dartmouth College2.430.2%1st Place
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6.82University of New Hampshire0.210.0%1st Place
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3.83Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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5.38Maine Maritime Academy1.320.0%1st Place
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7.2Middlebury College-0.030.0%1st Place
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2.91Bowdoin College2.890.3%1st Place
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8.59McGill University-1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Holmberg | 14.9% | 16.0% | 17.1% | 17.2% | 18.1% | 10.8% | 5.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Albert Nichols | 21.5% | 23.4% | 19.0% | 16.7% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Martin McDonald | 15.6% | 14.5% | 17.8% | 18.6% | 15.9% | 12.7% | 4.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Terry Clarke | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 12.1% | 30.5% | 34.1% | 6.8% |
| Richard Graef | 13.7% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 14.7% | 6.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Nemsdale | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 14.9% | 29.1% | 19.5% | 9.5% | 0.4% |
| Alex Knight | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 26.2% | 41.8% | 13.1% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 26.5% | 20.4% | 16.7% | 18.1% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Kline | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 11.6% | 79.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.