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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+0.32vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.08+1.42vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.74+0.96vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.51+0.41vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.11-0.20vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University-0.39+0.47vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California-0.48-0.95vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.80-1.46vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.99-0.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.32Stanford University3.3075.2%1st Place
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3.42University of California at Santa Barbara1.088.7%1st Place
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3.96University of California at Berkeley0.745.3%1st Place
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4.41University of Hawaii0.513.8%1st Place
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4.8University of Washington0.113.0%1st Place
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6.47Arizona State University-0.391.2%1st Place
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6.05University of Southern California-0.481.2%1st Place
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6.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.801.0%1st Place
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8.04University of California at Los Angeles-1.990.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 75.2% | 19.1% | 4.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 8.7% | 24.2% | 24.8% | 18.9% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Olsen | 5.3% | 18.1% | 19.8% | 20.7% | 15.9% | 11.5% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Martha Schuessler | 3.8% | 14.8% | 16.4% | 17.1% | 18.7% | 14.6% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
| Sammy Farkas | 3.0% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 18.1% | 17.2% | 12.9% | 6.1% | 1.8% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.2% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 19.7% | 25.9% | 12.7% |
| Ava Bergan | 1.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 16.4% | 21.9% | 17.4% | 9.1% |
| Micaela Jorcino | 1.0% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 18.2% | 25.9% | 14.8% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 16.4% | 60.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.