← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University2.39+0.61vs Predicted
-
4University of Connecticut0.19-0.42vs Predicted
-
5Williams College-0.03-1.23vs Predicted
-
6Bates College1.80-3.96vs Predicted
-
7University of New Hampshire-0.53-2.63vs Predicted
-
8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.11-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.61Tufts University2.390.5%1st Place
-
3.58University of Connecticut0.190.0%1st Place
-
3.77Williams College-0.030.1%1st Place
-
2.04Bates College1.800.3%1st Place
-
4.37University of New Hampshire-0.530.0%1st Place
-
5.64University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 54.8% | 33.1% | 8.9% | 3.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| George Williams | 4.9% | 11.4% | 32.0% | 28.3% | 19.8% | 3.6% |
| Jorge Castro | 6.1% | 8.3% | 21.9% | 33.7% | 25.8% | 4.2% |
| John Cappetta | 31.6% | 41.0% | 20.4% | 6.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Tanski | 2.3% | 5.2% | 14.3% | 23.2% | 41.5% | 13.5% |
| Amelia Vinciguerra | 0.3% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 5.8% | 11.8% | 78.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.