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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Tufts University2.39-0.41vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut0.19+0.56vs Predicted
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5Bates College1.80-2.96vs Predicted
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6Williams College-0.03-2.22vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.53-2.62vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.11-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.59Tufts University2.390.6%1st Place
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3.56University of Connecticut0.190.1%1st Place
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2.04Bates College1.800.3%1st Place
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3.78Williams College-0.030.1%1st Place
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4.38University of New Hampshire-0.530.0%1st Place
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5.65University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 56.4% | 31.3% | 9.3% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| George Williams | 5.1% | 11.8% | 30.6% | 30.3% | 18.9% | 3.3% |
| John Cappetta | 30.8% | 42.5% | 20.2% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jorge Castro | 5.1% | 7.9% | 24.6% | 32.5% | 25.9% | 4.0% |
| Morgan Tanski | 2.2% | 5.5% | 12.9% | 24.4% | 41.5% | 13.5% |
| Amelia Vinciguerra | 0.4% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 12.3% | 79.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.