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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+5.11vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+5.86vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.16+6.74vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.39+4.43vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.98+5.10vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+2.12vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.88-0.40vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.90+2.44vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.43-0.67vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.45+2.57vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.73-3.68vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.82-0.79vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University3.67-5.71vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.76-3.14vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.44-6.71vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.04-5.89vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.63-5.25vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College1.19-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.11Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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9.74University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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8.43Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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10.1Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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8.12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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6.6Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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10.44University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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8.33Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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12.57Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.32Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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11.21Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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7.29Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.86University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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8.29Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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10.11Tufts University3.040.0%1st Place
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11.75Salve Regina University2.630.0%1st Place
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15.89SUNY Maritime College1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 11.1% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Stewart | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Jack Swikart | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 2.5% |
| Markus Edegran | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| William Crary | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 2.6% |
| Marek Zaleski | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 10.9% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Schoene | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 4.5% |
| Augie Dale | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Brendan Read | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 5.0% |
| Axel Sly | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Casey Gowrie | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
| Sam Shannon | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 6.7% |
| Andrew Hall | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 12.7% | 57.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.