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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+5.10vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.39+6.76vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.73+4.30vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+3.46vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.04+4.89vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.88+0.62vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania3.16+2.51vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.44+0.26vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.98+1.24vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.43-1.30vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-2.74vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.67-4.25vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.90-2.60vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.76-3.17vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.82-4.16vs Predicted
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16Washington College2.45-3.55vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.63-5.25vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College1.19-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.1Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.76Dartmouth College3.390.0%1st Place
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7.3Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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9.89Tufts University3.040.0%1st Place
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6.62Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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9.51University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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8.26Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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10.24Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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8.7Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.26St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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7.75Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.4University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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10.83University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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10.84Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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12.45Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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11.75Salve Regina University2.630.0%1st Place
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15.88SUNY Maritime College1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 11.0% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Stewart | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Casey Gowrie | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Jack Swikart | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Axel Sly | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Stewart Draheim | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 3.0% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Markus Edegran | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Augie Dale | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| William Crary | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 3.7% |
| Brendan Read | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% |
| Andrew Schoene | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 4.2% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 15.8% | 10.0% |
| Sam Shannon | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 6.4% |
| Andrew Hall | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 12.4% | 57.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.