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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.73+6.27vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.82+9.10vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+5.27vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.72+3.04vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.04+4.81vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.44+2.22vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.88-0.47vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.90+2.36vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.67-1.76vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania3.16-0.28vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.63+0.75vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-4.20vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.98-2.99vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College1.19+1.75vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.39-6.62vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.43-7.64vs Predicted
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17Washington College2.45-4.54vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.76-7.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.27Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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11.1Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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8.27St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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7.04Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.81Tufts University3.040.0%1st Place
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8.22Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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6.53Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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10.36University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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7.24Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.72University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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11.75Salve Regina University2.630.0%1st Place
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7.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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10.01Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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15.75SUNY Maritime College1.190.0%1st Place
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8.38Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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8.36Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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12.46Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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10.94University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Sinks | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Schoene | 3.0% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 4.2% |
| Markus Edegran | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Joseph Kiss | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Casey Gowrie | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 2.4% |
| Axel Sly | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Pearson Potts | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| William Crary | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 3.0% |
| Augie Dale | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Jack Swikart | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.0% |
| Sam Shannon | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 7.9% |
| Alexander Stewart | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 3.0% |
| Andrew Hall | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 56.4% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Marek Zaleski | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 16.2% | 10.4% |
| Brendan Read | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.