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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.73+6.27vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College2.82+9.12vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.39+5.61vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+3.44vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.04+4.82vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania3.16+3.42vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.76+4.10vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+0.04vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.72-2.01vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.67-2.48vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.98-0.67vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.88-5.18vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.43-4.85vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.63-2.73vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.90-4.56vs Predicted
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16Washington College2.45-3.65vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.44-8.54vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College1.19-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.27Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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11.12Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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8.61Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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7.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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9.82Tufts University3.040.0%1st Place
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9.42University of Pennsylvania3.160.0%1st Place
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11.1University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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8.04St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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6.99Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.52Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.33Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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6.82Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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8.15Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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11.27Salve Regina University2.630.0%1st Place
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10.44University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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12.35Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.46Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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15.85SUNY Maritime College1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Sinks | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Schoene | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 4.0% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Casey Gowrie | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.1% |
| Jack Swikart | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Brendan Read | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 5.8% |
| Markus Edegran | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Joseph Kiss | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Augie Dale | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 3.5% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.7% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Marek Zaleski | 8.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Sam Shannon | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 6.4% |
| William Crary | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 3.2% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 10.3% |
| Axel Sly | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Hall | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 12.5% | 56.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.