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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.39+7.63vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.88+4.68vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.73+4.27vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.04+5.83vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.98+5.07vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania3.16+3.48vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.82+3.79vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-0.03vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.63+2.60vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62-2.22vs Predicted
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11Washington College2.45+1.38vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.72-4.51vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.76-2.09vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.43-5.94vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.67-7.77vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.44-7.68vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.90-6.35vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College1.19-2.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.63Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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6.68Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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7.27Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.83Tufts University3.040.0%1st Place
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10.07Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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9.48University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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10.79Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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7.97St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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11.6Salve Regina University2.630.0%1st Place
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7.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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12.38Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.49Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.91University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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8.06Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.23Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.32Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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10.65University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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15.86SUNY Maritime College1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Johnstone | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Casey Gowrie | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.1% |
| Jack Swikart | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Andrew Schoene | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 4.9% |
| Markus Edegran | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Sam Shannon | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 5.6% |
| Alexander Stewart | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Eric Siegel | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 11.0% |
| Joseph Kiss | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Read | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 4.6% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Augie Dale | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Axel Sly | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| William Crary | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 3.7% |
| Andrew Hall | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 12.1% | 57.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.