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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+5.58vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.87+8.13vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.73+3.63vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.87+5.72vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.24-0.22vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.27+2.34vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+2.56vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.60-1.03vs Predicted
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9Washington College2.01+4.20vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.26-1.40vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.79-4.64vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.73-1.20vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College1.55+1.48vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.83-0.49vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.72-4.59vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.58-4.90vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University3.50-9.47vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.21-5.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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10.13Dartmouth College2.870.0%1st Place
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6.63Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.72University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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4.78Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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8.34Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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9.56St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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6.97Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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13.2Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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8.6Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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6.36Boston College3.790.1%1st Place
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10.8Stanford University2.730.0%1st Place
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14.48SUNY Maritime College1.550.0%1st Place
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13.51University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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10.41Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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11.1University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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7.53Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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12.29Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Ingram | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Connor Corgard | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Drew Gallagher | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% |
| Nicholas Baird | 17.0% | 16.1% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Allman | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Edmund Cooper | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Nick Sertl | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 14.4% |
| Alexander Tong | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Richard Jones | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Luke Muller | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 4.2% |
| Andreas Adam | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 15.8% | 33.2% |
| Peter Girard | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 20.6% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| Adam Ceely | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.