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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.89+1.23vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+2.62vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.83+0.87vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.98+0.93vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.92-0.90vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.05-0.58vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35-0.63vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California0.90-2.78vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.96-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.23Stanford University2.8939.5%1st Place
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4.62University of California at Santa Barbara1.679.6%1st Place
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3.87University of Washington1.8313.5%1st Place
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4.93University of California at Berkeley0.988.1%1st Place
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4.1California Poly Maritime Academy1.9211.6%1st Place
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5.42University of Hawaii1.056.2%1st Place
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6.37Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.353.9%1st Place
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5.22University of Southern California0.907.0%1st Place
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8.24University of California at Los Angeles-0.960.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 39.5% | 25.8% | 17.2% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 9.6% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 1.8% |
| Benjamin Stone | 13.5% | 16.6% | 16.2% | 16.9% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Will Cornell | 8.1% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 15.5% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 2.7% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 11.6% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 0.5% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 18.5% | 17.0% | 5.1% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 17.8% | 28.9% | 12.5% |
| Morgana Manti | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 15.3% | 4.2% |
| Conrad Kistler | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 10.3% | 72.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.