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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.43+2.61vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.92+1.03vs Predicted
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3Bates College2.43+0.66vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.89-1.16vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-1.16vs Predicted
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6Maine Maritime Academy1.32-0.63vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire0.21-0.11vs Predicted
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8McGill University-1.71+0.60vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-0.03-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61Dartmouth College2.430.2%1st Place
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3.03Tufts University2.920.2%1st Place
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3.66Bates College2.430.2%1st Place
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2.84Bowdoin College2.890.3%1st Place
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3.84Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.1%1st Place
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5.37Maine Maritime Academy1.320.1%1st Place
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6.89University of New Hampshire0.210.0%1st Place
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8.6McGill University-1.710.0%1st Place
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7.16Middlebury College-0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin McDonald | 16.5% | 14.5% | 17.2% | 18.2% | 16.1% | 12.8% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Albert Nichols | 20.4% | 24.2% | 18.2% | 17.1% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Holmberg | 15.7% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 18.5% | 19.4% | 11.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 25.4% | 22.5% | 19.8% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 5.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Richard Graef | 13.4% | 15.8% | 15.6% | 15.5% | 17.8% | 14.2% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Nemsdale | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 14.5% | 29.3% | 20.6% | 8.0% | 0.7% |
| Terry Clarke | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 10.2% | 33.6% | 34.6% | 7.4% |
| John Kline | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 12.3% | 78.9% |
| Alex Knight | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 25.8% | 40.7% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.