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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.73+5.73vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+4.56vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.87+7.12vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.79+2.24vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+4.48vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.27+2.30vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.24-2.14vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.60-1.04vs Predicted
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9Washington College2.01+4.16vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.73+0.69vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.26-2.49vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College1.55+2.81vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.72-2.65vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.50-6.85vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.58-4.00vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.87-6.09vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.21-4.43vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island1.83-4.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.73Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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10.12Dartmouth College2.870.0%1st Place
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6.24Boston College3.790.1%1st Place
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9.48St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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8.3Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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4.86Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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6.96Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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13.16Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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10.69Stanford University2.730.0%1st Place
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8.51Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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14.81SUNY Maritime College1.550.0%1st Place
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10.35Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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7.15Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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11.0University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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9.91University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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12.57Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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13.59University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Corgard | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ty Ingram | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Richard Jones | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Edmund Cooper | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Nathan Allman | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Baird | 15.8% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nick Sertl | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 16.4% | 13.0% |
| Luke Muller | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 3.3% |
| Alexander Tong | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Andreas Adam | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 14.7% | 36.8% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Adam Ceely | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 4.2% |
| Drew Gallagher | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 11.0% |
| Peter Girard | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.