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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.79+5.74vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+4.74vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.24+2.10vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.27+4.41vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.50+2.57vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.60+1.24vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.73-0.26vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.73+2.52vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.87+1.03vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.87+0.33vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.26-2.32vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.01+1.58vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.21-0.56vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.58-3.11vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.83-1.20vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College1.55-1.27vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.72-6.18vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-11.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.74Boston College3.790.1%1st Place
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6.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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5.1Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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8.41Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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7.57Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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7.24Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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6.74Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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10.52Stanford University2.730.0%1st Place
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10.03Dartmouth College2.870.0%1st Place
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10.33University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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8.68Tufts University3.260.1%1st Place
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13.58Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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12.44Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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10.89University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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13.8University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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14.73SUNY Maritime College1.550.0%1st Place
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10.82Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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6.68St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Jones | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Ty Ingram | 6.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Baird | 13.2% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Allman | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Nick Sertl | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Connor Corgard | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Luke Muller | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 3.3% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Drew Gallagher | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Alexander Tong | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 16.6% | 18.9% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 10.0% |
| Adam Ceely | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% |
| Peter Girard | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 16.1% | 20.5% |
| Andreas Adam | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 12.5% | 16.2% | 32.5% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 3.3% |
| Bradley Adam | 9.3% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.