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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.82+1.44vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.56-0.26vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.11-0.79vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University-1.36+0.59vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.82-2.34vs Predicted
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7Sacred Heart University0.12-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.44Brown University1.820.2%1st Place
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1.74University of Rhode Island2.560.5%1st Place
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3.21University of Vermont1.110.1%1st Place
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5.59Fairfield University-1.360.0%1st Place
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3.66University of Rhode Island0.820.1%1st Place
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4.37Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Secondo | 23.7% | 34.1% | 23.1% | 13.6% | 4.6% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 52.5% | 27.2% | 15.1% | 4.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Frederick Finkenauer | 12.0% | 17.7% | 26.2% | 27.2% | 15.0% | 1.9% |
| Kelsey Laforest | 0.5% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 13.5% | 76.7% |
| Benton Croop | 7.7% | 12.5% | 21.8% | 27.9% | 24.8% | 5.3% |
| Brian Reilly | 3.6% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 22.6% | 41.6% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.