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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.82+1.47vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.56-1.25vs Predicted
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4Sacred Heart University0.12+0.32vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.11-1.75vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-1.36-0.38vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.82-3.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47Brown University1.820.2%1st Place
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1.75University of Rhode Island2.560.5%1st Place
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4.32Sacred Heart University0.120.1%1st Place
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3.25University of Vermont1.110.1%1st Place
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5.62Fairfield University-1.360.0%1st Place
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3.59University of Rhode Island0.820.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reid Secondo | 24.1% | 31.2% | 24.6% | 14.5% | 5.0% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 51.9% | 28.0% | 14.6% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Brian Reilly | 5.0% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 19.7% | 43.9% | 13.9% |
| Frederick Finkenauer | 10.4% | 18.7% | 25.9% | 27.2% | 16.0% | 1.8% |
| Kelsey Laforest | 0.5% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 11.1% | 79.2% |
| Benton Croop | 8.1% | 13.4% | 21.6% | 29.6% | 22.8% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.