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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.56+3.05vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.04+0.05vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.32-0.08vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.40+0.42vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota1.18-0.22vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.62-0.34vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University1.00-1.88vs Predicted
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8University of Iowa-0.42-1.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.05University of Wisconsin1.560.1%1st Place
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2.05University of Wisconsin3.040.4%1st Place
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2.92Tufts University2.320.2%1st Place
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4.42University of Michigan1.400.1%1st Place
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4.78University of Minnesota1.180.1%1st Place
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5.66Ohio State University0.620.0%1st Place
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5.12Northwestern University1.000.1%1st Place
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7.0University of Iowa-0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Keck | 10.2% | 14.0% | 17.3% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 9.0% | 2.4% |
| Laura Wefer | 42.8% | 29.1% | 14.3% | 9.3% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kate Klement | 21.7% | 23.9% | 21.9% | 15.7% | 10.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Lane Tobin | 8.2% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 16.9% | 18.2% | 16.0% | 11.3% | 4.6% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 6.1% | 7.3% | 12.9% | 17.0% | 16.9% | 18.1% | 15.9% | 5.8% |
| Corinne Sackett | 4.4% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 18.5% | 23.7% | 18.2% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 5.1% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 17.2% | 18.8% | 19.0% | 10.4% |
| Magdalena Franze-Soeln | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 9.3% | 18.7% | 58.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.