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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.04+1.01vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.56+2.16vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.32-0.10vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota1.18+0.78vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.62+0.72vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University1.00-0.97vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan1.40-2.59vs Predicted
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8University of Iowa-0.42-1.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.01University of Wisconsin3.040.4%1st Place
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4.16University of Wisconsin1.560.1%1st Place
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2.9Tufts University2.320.2%1st Place
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4.78University of Minnesota1.180.1%1st Place
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5.72Ohio State University0.620.0%1st Place
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5.03Northwestern University1.000.1%1st Place
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4.41University of Michigan1.400.1%1st Place
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6.99University of Iowa-0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Wefer | 44.2% | 28.7% | 15.4% | 7.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Keck | 9.1% | 12.4% | 17.6% | 17.3% | 16.6% | 15.0% | 8.7% | 3.3% |
| Kate Klement | 21.4% | 24.6% | 22.6% | 14.6% | 10.3% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 6.0% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 18.6% | 17.0% | 15.2% | 7.2% |
| Corinne Sackett | 3.8% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 20.0% | 24.7% | 18.1% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 15.1% | 16.9% | 17.7% | 19.0% | 8.8% |
| Lane Tobin | 8.6% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 17.1% | 17.4% | 16.3% | 12.6% | 3.6% |
| Magdalena Franze-Soeln | 0.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 17.8% | 58.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.