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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+0.34vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California-0.48+3.94vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.74+0.98vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.51+0.49vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.39+1.45vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.08-2.63vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.11-2.17vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.80-1.45vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.99-0.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.34Stanford University3.3072.4%1st Place
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5.94University of Southern California-0.482.4%1st Place
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3.98University of California at Berkeley0.745.8%1st Place
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4.49University of Hawaii0.514.0%1st Place
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6.45Arizona State University-0.391.4%1st Place
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3.37University of California at Santa Barbara1.089.5%1st Place
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4.83University of Washington0.113.1%1st Place
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6.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.801.1%1st Place
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8.05University of California at Los Angeles-1.990.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 72.4% | 21.9% | 4.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Bergan | 2.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 16.7% | 20.2% | 18.9% | 7.7% |
| Katherine Olsen | 5.8% | 16.3% | 20.6% | 21.2% | 15.5% | 11.8% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Martha Schuessler | 4.0% | 12.3% | 16.6% | 17.7% | 18.8% | 15.2% | 9.8% | 4.6% | 1.0% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.4% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 18.4% | 26.0% | 13.0% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 9.5% | 24.3% | 23.5% | 19.8% | 12.7% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sammy Farkas | 3.1% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 17.5% | 17.2% | 14.3% | 6.4% | 1.5% |
| Micaela Jorcino | 1.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 20.9% | 25.3% | 14.4% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 15.8% | 61.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.