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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.32+1.88vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin3.04+0.04vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.56+1.17vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.40+0.44vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota1.18-0.21vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.62-0.37vs Predicted
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7University of Iowa-0.42+0.05vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University1.00-3.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88Tufts University2.320.2%1st Place
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2.04University of Wisconsin3.040.4%1st Place
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4.17University of Wisconsin1.560.1%1st Place
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4.44University of Michigan1.400.1%1st Place
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4.79University of Minnesota1.180.1%1st Place
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5.63Ohio State University0.620.0%1st Place
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7.05University of Iowa-0.420.0%1st Place
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4.99Northwestern University1.000.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Klement | 21.7% | 27.9% | 19.6% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Laura Wefer | 43.2% | 27.8% | 16.0% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Keck | 9.3% | 13.2% | 16.0% | 17.7% | 15.6% | 15.8% | 9.5% | 2.9% |
| Lane Tobin | 8.1% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 17.7% | 17.0% | 12.4% | 3.6% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 6.1% | 7.9% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 16.7% | 17.6% | 18.1% | 5.0% |
| Corinne Sackett | 4.4% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 16.5% | 24.5% | 17.7% |
| Magdalena Franze-Soeln | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 16.4% | 62.0% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 5.3% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 16.9% | 19.4% | 17.1% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.