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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota1.18+3.75vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.56+2.15vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin3.04-0.99vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.32-1.03vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan1.40-0.54vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University1.00-0.95vs Predicted
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7University of Iowa-0.42+0.02vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University0.62-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75University of Minnesota1.180.1%1st Place
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4.15University of Wisconsin1.560.1%1st Place
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2.01University of Wisconsin3.040.4%1st Place
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2.97Tufts University2.320.2%1st Place
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4.46University of Michigan1.400.1%1st Place
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5.05Northwestern University1.000.1%1st Place
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7.02University of Iowa-0.420.0%1st Place
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5.58Ohio State University0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Hamilton | 6.5% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 19.5% | 17.1% | 16.4% | 5.8% |
| Carolyn Keck | 9.9% | 12.1% | 16.7% | 16.2% | 20.0% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 2.3% |
| Laura Wefer | 44.2% | 28.4% | 15.6% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kate Klement | 21.0% | 23.7% | 20.3% | 17.1% | 10.6% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Lane Tobin | 6.6% | 11.6% | 15.1% | 17.4% | 15.1% | 18.3% | 11.7% | 4.2% |
| Katherine O'Donnell | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 18.5% | 19.4% | 9.3% |
| Magdalena Franze-Soeln | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 15.5% | 62.0% |
| Corinne Sackett | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 21.0% | 23.7% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.