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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.92+1.50vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.51+1.17vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan1.23+0.59vs Predicted
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4William and Mary1.20-0.36vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University0.81-0.74vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-0.81+0.48vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota0.39-2.06vs Predicted
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8University of Iowa-1.81-0.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5University of Wisconsin1.920.3%1st Place
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3.17University of Wisconsin1.510.2%1st Place
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3.59University of Michigan1.230.1%1st Place
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3.64William and Mary1.200.1%1st Place
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4.26Northwestern University0.810.1%1st Place
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6.48Ohio State University-0.810.0%1st Place
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4.94University of Minnesota0.390.1%1st Place
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7.41University of Iowa-1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whitney Kent | 32.6% | 26.0% | 17.2% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 19.8% | 21.2% | 18.1% | 17.3% | 13.4% | 7.7% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Anderson | 14.8% | 15.2% | 19.7% | 17.9% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Megan McMahon | 14.8% | 15.7% | 16.3% | 18.7% | 17.1% | 13.4% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Medina Krevans | 8.9% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 16.9% | 19.0% | 19.8% | 8.5% | 1.3% |
| Brittany Mosgo | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 7.3% | 15.4% | 42.2% | 24.3% |
| Cailin Oakes | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 16.5% | 24.2% | 19.8% | 3.7% |
| Caitlin Chenus | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 18.8% | 69.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.