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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.92+1.52vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.51+1.19vs Predicted
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3William and Mary1.20+0.63vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.81+0.27vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University-0.81+1.53vs Predicted
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6University of Iowa-1.81+1.43vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan1.23-3.39vs Predicted
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8University of Minnesota0.39-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52University of Wisconsin1.920.3%1st Place
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3.19University of Wisconsin1.510.2%1st Place
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3.63William and Mary1.200.2%1st Place
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4.27Northwestern University0.810.1%1st Place
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6.53Ohio State University-0.810.0%1st Place
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7.43University of Iowa-1.810.0%1st Place
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3.61University of Michigan1.230.2%1st Place
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4.82University of Minnesota0.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whitney Kent | 31.4% | 26.4% | 18.2% | 12.7% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Andrea Sullivan | 19.2% | 20.9% | 18.7% | 17.2% | 13.2% | 8.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Megan McMahon | 15.1% | 15.1% | 17.8% | 17.9% | 16.7% | 12.8% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Medina Krevans | 9.4% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 16.0% | 19.7% | 19.2% | 9.4% | 1.5% |
| Brittany Mosgo | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 13.8% | 44.7% | 24.5% |
| Caitlin Chenus | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 19.3% | 69.7% |
| Alexandra Anderson | 16.4% | 13.7% | 18.4% | 17.0% | 17.4% | 13.1% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Cailin Oakes | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 18.6% | 24.5% | 15.9% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.