Race 3A

saisa-north-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ian Richardson 38.7% 25.1% 15.7% 11.0% 5.0% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew Simpson 10.8% 11.1% 13.4% 14.8% 13.2% 11.3% 10.8% 7.8% 5.0% 1.9%
Jack Schultz 7.4% 10.8% 12.0% 10.9% 11.8% 12.6% 12.0% 10.8% 7.1% 4.3%
Quinn Healey 8.1% 9.3% 10.3% 11.5% 11.1% 11.2% 11.8% 11.0% 10.9% 4.7%
Lyla Solway 7.2% 8.9% 9.8% 10.5% 11.1% 12.6% 11.6% 11.8% 11.2% 5.3%
Noah Jost 9.3% 12.3% 11.6% 12.2% 12.5% 11.2% 11.1% 9.8% 6.8% 3.1%
Anna Horton 5.9% 5.9% 7.5% 6.9% 9.7% 10.7% 11.0% 12.2% 14.9% 15.3%
Francis "Mac" Humphrey 5.6% 7.6% 9.4% 9.0% 9.7% 11.9% 11.7% 12.4% 12.8% 9.8%
Adam Nilsson 4.9% 6.3% 6.3% 9.9% 10.7% 10.5% 11.7% 13.7% 14.8% 11.1%
Brady Mayer 2.1% 2.6% 3.8% 3.2% 5.3% 5.1% 7.0% 10.2% 16.4% 44.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.