Race 15A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Reade Decker 41.1% 27.5% 15.7% 9.0% 4.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Vivian Bonsager 6.5% 6.8% 8.8% 11.6% 11.8% 14.5% 18.3% 16.2% 5.4%
Henry Boeger 9.0% 12.1% 12.2% 15.2% 14.8% 13.2% 13.7% 8.1% 1.8%
Nicholas Mueller 12.5% 16.0% 16.4% 15.6% 14.8% 12.6% 7.4% 4.0% 0.8%
Will Cornell 7.7% 8.8% 11.8% 13.1% 14.5% 14.8% 14.5% 11.9% 2.9%
Benjamin Stone 13.0% 13.8% 16.8% 16.7% 14.4% 12.6% 7.9% 3.9% 1.0%
Morgana Manti 6.2% 8.6% 9.9% 11.1% 12.8% 16.0% 15.4% 16.2% 4.0%
Robert Bloomfield 3.0% 5.1% 6.8% 6.3% 9.2% 11.1% 17.1% 28.2% 13.2%
Conrad Kistler 1.0% 1.5% 1.8% 1.6% 3.5% 3.4% 5.1% 11.4% 70.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.