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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.25+1.10vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.67-0.21vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.48+1.36vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.52+1.74vs Predicted
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5Bates College1.19-0.33vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.06-1.09vs Predicted
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7McGill University0.33-0.86vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-0.11-1.27vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.95-0.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1Bowdoin College3.250.3%1st Place
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1.79Tufts University3.670.5%1st Place
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4.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.480.1%1st Place
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5.74Maine Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
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4.67Bates College1.190.0%1st Place
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4.91Dartmouth College1.060.0%1st Place
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6.14McGill University0.330.0%1st Place
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6.73Middlebury College-0.110.0%1st Place
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8.56University of New Hampshire-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Hatch | 35.0% | 35.4% | 18.4% | 8.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Weigel | 46.4% | 35.3% | 12.9% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leo Connolly | 5.3% | 7.5% | 19.9% | 22.3% | 18.8% | 14.2% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Murphy | 2.3% | 3.3% | 6.8% | 13.0% | 17.2% | 17.6% | 19.3% | 18.1% | 2.4% |
| Ian Gilchrist | 4.1% | 8.2% | 17.1% | 18.5% | 16.9% | 17.1% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Hylton | 3.6% | 5.9% | 13.2% | 17.9% | 21.3% | 17.4% | 12.8% | 7.5% | 0.4% |
| Bogdan Istrate | 1.4% | 2.6% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 17.9% | 23.4% | 22.0% | 4.8% |
| Paul Hildebrand | 1.7% | 1.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 20.2% | 34.2% | 10.6% |
| Phillip Parsons | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 9.1% | 80.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.