← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Berkeley1.62+8.00vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University2.10+5.14vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University2.63+2.33vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University2.55+1.51vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+2.23vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Los Angeles1.39+4.15vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+0.58vs Predicted
-
8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+2.74vs Predicted
-
9University of Hawaii1.59+0.13vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Berkeley1.48-0.30vs Predicted
-
11Stanford University2.43-5.01vs Predicted
-
12Santa Clara University1.01-0.12vs Predicted
-
13Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.62+0.55vs Predicted
-
14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.19+2.08vs Predicted
-
15Santa Clara University0.59-1.70vs Predicted
-
16University of Southern California1.44-6.24vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Los Angeles0.92-5.13vs Predicted
-
18University of Southern California0.07-2.74vs Predicted
-
19University of Hawaii0.63-5.87vs Predicted
-
20University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-2.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.0University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
-
7.14Stanford University2.100.1%1st Place
-
5.33Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
-
5.51Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
-
7.23University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
-
10.15University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
-
7.58University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
-
10.74Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
-
9.13University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
-
9.7University of California at Berkeley1.480.0%1st Place
-
5.99Stanford University2.430.1%1st Place
-
11.88Santa Clara University1.010.0%1st Place
-
13.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.620.0%1st Place
-
16.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.190.0%1st Place
-
13.3Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
-
9.76University of Southern California1.440.0%1st Place
-
11.87University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
-
15.26University of Southern California0.070.0%1st Place
-
13.13University of Hawaii0.630.0%1st Place
-
17.69University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyra Oakes | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cassie Obel | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 14.0% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martina Sly | 12.8% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Ginger Luckey | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Louise Currie | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Elena VandenBerg | 11.5% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Melissa Shadden | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 1.3% |
| Maria-Elena Falahee-Walker | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 5.2% |
| Belle Lemoine | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 13.4% | 17.5% | 22.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 4.2% |
| Christina Gasparich | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Leah Ford | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 1.8% |
| Melissa Schem | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 18.2% | 12.5% |
| Annie Johnson | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 3.6% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 10.9% | 16.1% | 47.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.