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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+6.35vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.10+5.21vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.71+5.92vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.63+1.31vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+2.36vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.59+3.38vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.44+3.14vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.62+0.94vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+1.79vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.43-4.06vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.55-5.33vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California0.07+3.40vs Predicted
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13Santa Clara University1.01-0.97vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles0.92-1.93vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii0.63-1.83vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles1.39-5.94vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.62-3.85vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-0.35vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.19-3.01vs Predicted
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20Santa Clara University0.59-6.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.35University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
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7.21Stanford University2.100.1%1st Place
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8.92University of California at Berkeley1.710.1%1st Place
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5.31Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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7.36University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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9.38University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
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10.14University of Southern California1.440.0%1st Place
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8.94University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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10.79Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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5.94Stanford University2.430.1%1st Place
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5.67Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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15.4University of Southern California0.070.0%1st Place
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12.03Santa Clara University1.010.0%1st Place
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12.07University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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13.17University of Hawaii0.630.0%1st Place
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10.06University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
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13.15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.620.0%1st Place
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17.65University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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15.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.190.0%1st Place
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13.47Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Godfrey | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Cassie Obel | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 13.5% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Christina Gasparich | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Kyra Oakes | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Grace Carrick | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Elena VandenBerg | 10.6% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martina Sly | 12.9% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Melissa Schem | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 15.4% | 16.9% | 14.7% |
| Melissa Shadden | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Leah Ford | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Annie Johnson | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 3.7% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Maria-Elena Falahee-Walker | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 3.6% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 17.5% | 46.7% |
| Belle Lemoine | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 20.6% | 20.1% |
| Francesca Dana | 1.8% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.