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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.06+3.93vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.48+2.42vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.25-0.87vs Predicted
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4Bates College1.19+0.68vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.67-3.31vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-0.11+0.71vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy0.52-1.17vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.95+0.56vs Predicted
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9McGill University0.33-2.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93Dartmouth College1.060.0%1st Place
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4.42Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.480.0%1st Place
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2.13Bowdoin College3.250.3%1st Place
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4.68Bates College1.190.0%1st Place
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1.69Tufts University3.670.5%1st Place
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6.71Middlebury College-0.110.0%1st Place
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5.83Maine Maritime Academy0.520.0%1st Place
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8.56University of New Hampshire-1.950.0%1st Place
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6.06McGill University0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Hylton | 3.6% | 6.5% | 13.6% | 18.0% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 13.9% | 6.8% | 1.4% |
| Leo Connolly | 4.2% | 6.5% | 19.8% | 22.8% | 21.6% | 13.5% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| D.J. Hatch | 30.6% | 39.2% | 20.0% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Gilchrist | 3.7% | 6.8% | 17.1% | 19.7% | 19.4% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 4.6% | 0.5% |
| Ben Weigel | 52.7% | 31.5% | 11.4% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Hildebrand | 1.1% | 1.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 19.6% | 35.7% | 9.6% |
| Cameron Murphy | 1.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 16.0% | 20.6% | 20.9% | 18.0% | 2.1% |
| Phillip Parsons | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 8.3% | 81.5% |
| Bogdan Istrate | 2.4% | 2.8% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 17.0% | 21.3% | 23.2% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.