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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Sarah Hylton 3.6% 6.5% 13.6% 18.0% 18.3% 17.9% 13.9% 6.8% 1.4%
Leo Connolly 4.2% 6.5% 19.8% 22.8% 21.6% 13.5% 7.8% 3.4% 0.4%
D.J. Hatch 30.6% 39.2% 20.0% 7.2% 2.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Gilchrist 3.7% 6.8% 17.1% 19.7% 19.4% 15.2% 13.0% 4.6% 0.5%
Ben Weigel 52.7% 31.5% 11.4% 3.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Paul Hildebrand 1.1% 1.9% 4.7% 7.0% 8.1% 12.3% 19.6% 35.7% 9.6%
Cameron Murphy 1.6% 4.5% 6.0% 10.3% 16.0% 20.6% 20.9% 18.0% 2.1%
Phillip Parsons 0.1% 0.3% 1.1% 1.1% 1.2% 3.0% 3.4% 8.3% 81.5%
Bogdan Istrate 2.4% 2.8% 6.3% 10.4% 12.1% 17.0% 21.3% 23.2% 4.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.