← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University1.29+1.71vs Predicted
-
2University of Southern California-0.48+3.88vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Berkeley0.74+0.70vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara1.08-0.93vs Predicted
-
5Arizona State University-0.39+1.38vs Predicted
-
6University of Hawaii0.51-1.83vs Predicted
-
7University of Washington0.11-2.37vs Predicted
-
8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.80-1.58vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Los Angeles-1.99-0.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.71Stanford University1.2930.3%1st Place
-
5.88University of Southern California-0.485.1%1st Place
-
3.7University of California at Berkeley0.7415.5%1st Place
-
3.07University of California at Santa Barbara1.0822.0%1st Place
-
6.38Arizona State University-0.393.8%1st Place
-
4.17University of Hawaii0.5111.3%1st Place
-
4.63University of Washington0.118.2%1st Place
-
6.42Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.803.0%1st Place
-
8.04University of California at Los Angeles-1.990.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexis Young | 30.3% | 22.7% | 17.6% | 14.5% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ava Bergan | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 16.6% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 8.6% |
| Katherine Olsen | 15.5% | 17.1% | 16.6% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 6.6% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 22.0% | 21.5% | 18.8% | 17.1% | 11.0% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 19.8% | 25.1% | 13.7% |
| Martha Schuessler | 11.3% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Sammy Farkas | 8.2% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 6.8% | 1.3% |
| Micaela Jorcino | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 20.6% | 24.6% | 13.9% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 16.2% | 61.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.