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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.63+4.32vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.55+3.51vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+4.42vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.10+3.23vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University1.01+6.60vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.71+2.86vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+0.61vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.43-2.17vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California1.44+0.75vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.92+2.11vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles1.39-0.90vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.62+1.52vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-1.75vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California0.07+1.23vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii1.59-5.76vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley1.62-6.95vs Predicted
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17University of Hawaii0.63-3.91vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.19-1.89vs Predicted
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19University of California at Los Angeles-0.81-1.37vs Predicted
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20Santa Clara University0.59-6.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.32Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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5.51Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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7.42University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.1%1st Place
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7.23Stanford University2.100.1%1st Place
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11.6Santa Clara University1.010.0%1st Place
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8.86University of California at Berkeley1.710.0%1st Place
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7.61University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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5.83Stanford University2.430.1%1st Place
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9.75University of Southern California1.440.0%1st Place
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12.11University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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10.1University of California at Los Angeles1.390.1%1st Place
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13.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.620.0%1st Place
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11.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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15.23University of Southern California0.070.0%1st Place
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9.24University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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9.05University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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13.09University of Hawaii0.630.0%1st Place
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16.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.190.0%1st Place
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17.63University of California at Los Angeles-0.810.0%1st Place
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13.54Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria El-Khazindar | 14.7% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martina Sly | 12.5% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cassie Obel | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Melissa Shadden | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Ginger Luckey | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elena VandenBerg | 10.6% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christina Gasparich | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Leah Ford | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Maria-Elena Falahee-Walker | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 8.7% | 4.5% |
| Grace Carrick | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Melissa Schem | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 18.8% | 13.1% |
| Louise Currie | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Kyra Oakes | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Annie Johnson | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 3.1% |
| Belle Lemoine | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 19.7% | 22.0% |
| Sarah Macpherson | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 17.5% | 46.1% |
| Francesca Dana | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 5.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.